Tennis · US Open · 03/09, 17:00

Prediction: Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak

Team pages: Valentin Vacherot · Kamil Majchrzak

Prediction summary
Winner
53% 47%
Valentin Vacherot Kamil Majchrzak
Estimated games
25.3Bet365 line 41.5
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Vacherot 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLLLWLW
Kamil Majchrzak 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWWLLLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Valentin Vacherot 1481 · Kamil Majchrzak 1470
Valentin VacherotKamil Majchrzak
Our model52%48%
Market55%45%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Valentin VacherotKamil Majchrzak
Win %40%40%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 33% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.51.2-1.4
Games (G-P)13.8-14.113.5-13.8
Aces9.48.4
Double faults3.82.1
1st serve %75.2%71.2%
Break %34.9%34.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 25.3 · Bet365 line 41.5 · -16.2
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Valentin Vacherot

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/08 Aleksandar Kovacevic
US Open · Hard
3-0 19-10 W
15/08 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
05/08 Mariano Navone
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 12-13 L
22/07 Quentin Halys
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
17/07 Raphael Collignon
ATP Gstaad · Clay
1-2 17-18 L
15/07 Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Gstaad · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
26/05 Thomas Faurel
French Open · Clay
3-1 22-19 W
24/04 Emilio Nava
ATP Madrid · Clay
1-2 16-19 L
11/04 Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Monte Carlo · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
10/04 Alex De Minaur
ATP Monte Carlo · Clay
2-1 15-13 W

Kamil Majchrzak

LLLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Hamad Medjedovic
US Open · Hard
3-0 18-9 W
24/08 Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
14/08 Christopher O'Connell
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
04/08 Gael Monfils
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
29/07 Taylor Fritz
ATP Washington · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
28/07 Tommy Paul
ATP Washington · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
02/07 Zachary Svajda
Wimbledon · Grass
2-3 22-26 L
30/06 Alejandro Tabilo
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 20-13 W
16/06 Jiri Lehecka
ATP Queens · Grass
0-2 11-14 L
14/06 Alex De Minaur
ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-1 15-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Valentin Vacherot vs Kamil Majchrzak?

Our model gives 53% to Valentin Vacherot, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.