Tennis · M15 Bologna · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Michele Mecarelli vs Denis Constantin Spiridon
Team pages: Michele Mecarelli · Denis Constantin Spiridon
Prediction summary
Winner
Michele Mecarelli
Denis Constantin Spiridon
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Michele Mecarelli
6-4 (W-L)
Denis Constantin Spiridon
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Michele Mecarelli 1474 · Denis Constantin Spiridon 1492
| Michele Mecarelli | Denis Constantin Spiridon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Michele Mecarelli | Denis Constantin Spiridon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.6 | 9.7-10.4 |
| Aces | 2.2 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.2% | 63.5% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 47% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Michele Mecarelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Francesco Forti Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 09/08 | Eero Vasa Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Stefano D'Agostino M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Daniele Minighini M25 Fano |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Vladyslav Orlov M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Andrea Tognolini M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Leonardo Borrelli M15 Segrate |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Gabriele Maria Noce M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Matei Florin Breazu M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
Denis Constantin Spiridon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Giuseppe La Vela M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Gabriele Bosio M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Jacopo Antonelli M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Pietro Romeo Scomparin M25 Fano |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Giorgio Tabacco M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 10/07 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Tristan Berard M25 Bastia-Lucciana |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Michele Mecarelli vs Denis Constantin Spiridon?
Our model gives 57% to Michele Mecarelli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.