Tennis · M15 Bologna · 02/09, 10:00

Prediction: Giacomo Crisostomo vs Manuel Mazza

Team pages: Giacomo Crisostomo · Manuel Mazza

Prediction summary
Winner
31% 69%
Giacomo Crisostomo Manuel Mazza
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Giacomo Crisostomo 4-6 (W-L)
WWLLLLWLWL
Manuel Mazza 4-6 (W-L)
LWLWWLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Giacomo Crisostomo 1449 · Manuel Mazza 1446
Giacomo CrisostomoManuel Mazza
Our model50%50%
Market16%84%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Giacomo CrisostomoManuel Mazza
Win %30%30%
Win % · Clay 29% (7) 25% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.7-1.40.9-1.6
Games (G-P)8.8-10.511.3-13.8
Aces12.6
Double faults1.82.2
1st serve %65.8%62.6%
Break %32.7%34.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.6

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Giacomo Crisostomo

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Radu David Turcanu
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/08 Louis Allen
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 9-1 W
19/08 Kasra Rahmani
M25 Lesa
0-2 8-13 L
18/08 Daniel Lechner
M25 Lesa
2-0 12-3 W
28/07 Gabriele Pennaforti
M25 Bolzano · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
15/07 Vito Antonio Darderi
M15 Gubbio
0-2 11-14 L
22/06 Antonio Caruso
M15 Bergamo · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
18/06 Theo Papamalamis
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
16/06 Matteo Vavassori
M15 Bourg-en-Bresse · ~Clay
2-0 13-9 W
10/06 Marcel Zielinski
M15 Messina · ~Clay
1-2 9-16 L

Manuel Mazza

LWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/08 Daniele Rapagnetta
M25 Lesa
0-2 9-13 L
18/08 Stefano D'Agostino
M25 Lesa
2-1 15-13 W
27/07 Thiago Monteiro
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
26/07 Niels Visker
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
28/06 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
16/06 Marcello Serafini
M25 Milano · ~Clay
1-2 14-19 L
08/06 Carlos Sanchez Jover
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
1-2 12-16 L
01/06 Nicolas Alvarez Varona
Challenger Perugia · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
31/05 Ioannis Xilas
Challenger Perugia · Clay
2-1 12-13 W
28/05 Matteo Sciahbasi
M25 Grado · ~Clay
1-2 14-17 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Giacomo Crisostomo vs Manuel Mazza?

Our model gives 69% to Manuel Mazza, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.