Tennis · M15 Bologna · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Samuele Seghetti vs Blu Baker
Team pages: Samuele Seghetti · Blu Baker
Prediction summary
Winner
Samuele Seghetti
Blu Baker
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Samuele Seghetti
4-6 (W-L)
Blu Baker
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Samuele Seghetti 1488 · Blu Baker 1573
| Samuele Seghetti | Blu Baker | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 62% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blu Baker (rating 1488 vs 1573).
- Blu Baker is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Samuele Seghetti | Blu Baker | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-10.9 | 12.2-8 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 67.8% | 68.8% |
| Break % | 50.2% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Samuele Seghetti
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Kenny de Schepper M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 26/08 | Dorian Tremblay M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 23/08 | Laurent Lokoli M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 22/08 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/08 | Lorenzo Rottoli M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Gianmarco Ferrari M25 Lesa |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Petr Michnev M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/06 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 15/06 | Luca Parenti M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/05 | Alaa Trifi M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-1 | 6-9 | L |
Blu Baker
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Henry Bernet M25 Lausanne |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Leonardo Taddia M25 Lausanne |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 22/08 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 19/08 | Luca Parenti M25 Lesa |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 24/05 | Xavier Calvelo UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 23/05 | Reece Falck UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/05 | Aaron Eliscu UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/05 | Kaj Quirijns UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/05 | Ford McCollum UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/05 | Gabriel Jessup UTR Pro Newport Beach · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Samuele Seghetti vs Blu Baker?
Our model gives 62% to Blu Baker, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.