Tennis · M15 Bologna · 02/09, 10:00

Prediction: Gabriele Bosio vs Filippo Mazzola

Team pages: Gabriele Bosio · Filippo Mazzola

Prediction summary
Winner
47% 53%
Gabriele Bosio Filippo Mazzola
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Gabriele Bosio 3-7 (W-L)
WLLWLLWLLL
Filippo Mazzola 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWWWLWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Gabriele Bosio 1461 · Filippo Mazzola 1509
Gabriele BosioFilippo Mazzola
Our model43%57%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Filippo Mazzola (rating 1461 vs 1509).

Statistics

Gabriele BosioFilippo Mazzola
Win %40%50%
Win % · Clay 0% (1) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1-1.41.1-1.1
Games (G-P)10.9-129.8-9.2
Aces1.11.5
Double faults2.82.5
1st serve %62.3%59.8%
Break %51.3%46.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Gabriele Bosio

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Denis Constantin Spiridon
M25 Lesa
1-2 13-16 L
13/08 Rares Teodor Pieleanu
M15 Targu Jiu
0-2 8-13 L
11/08 Francesco Ferrari
M15 Targu Jiu
2-1 14-12 W
04/08 Giannicola Misasi
M15 Curtea de Arges · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
28/07 Radu David Turcanu
M25 Pitesti
0-2 10-13 L
24/07 Yanis Ghazouani Durand
M15 Segrate
0-2 3-12 L
23/07 Luca Parenti
M15 Segrate
2-0 12-6 W
21/07 William Mirarchi
M15 Segrate
2-1 16-12 W
18/07 Luca Castagnola
M15 Nova Gorica
0-2 8-13 L
17/07 Tomas Lanik
M15 Nova Gorica
2-0 13-7 W

Filippo Mazzola

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Mario Arce Fernandez
M15 Xativa
0-2 6-10 L
16/07 Daniele Rapagnetta
M15 Gubbio
0-2 8-12 L
14/07 Leonardo Primucci
M15 Gubbio
2-0 12-5 W
11/07 Ilya Snitari
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
1-2 8-14 L
10/07 Matei Florin Breazu
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 13-6 W
09/07 Freddy Murray
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Radu David Turcanu
M15 Bucharest · ~Clay
2-1 18-12 W
07/06 Lucio Ratti
Challenger Cattolica · Clay
0-2 2-12 L
28/05 Giuseppe La Vela
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
0-2 7-12 L
27/05 Adrien Burdet
M15 Kranjska Gora · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Gabriele Bosio vs Filippo Mazzola?

Our model gives 53% to Filippo Mazzola, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.