Tennis · M15 Bologna · 02/09, 10:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Bocchi vs Aljaz Jeran
Team pages: Lorenzo Bocchi · Aljaz Jeran
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Bocchi
Aljaz Jeran
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Bocchi
5-5 (W-L)
Aljaz Jeran
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Bocchi 1502 · Aljaz Jeran 1511
| Lorenzo Bocchi | Aljaz Jeran | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Lorenzo Bocchi | Aljaz Jeran | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.4-8.5 | 9.5-8.2 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 66.6% |
| Break % | 56.8% | 54.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Bocchi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | John Sperle M15 Pecs |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Jeremy Gschwendtner M15 Pecs |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/08 | Alex Marti Pujolras Challenger Sion · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Sion · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Matthew William Donald M25 Muttenz |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Dimitris Sakellaridis M15 Nova Gorica |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/07 | Filiberto Fumagalli M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/07 | Matic Hribar M15 Nova Gorica |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Glib Sekachov M15 Nova Gorica |
1-0 | 6-3 | W |
| 06/07 | Gonzalo Villanueva Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Aljaz Jeran
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Andrea De Marchi M25 Maribor |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Maj Premzl M25 Maribor |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Valerio Aboian M25 Slovenj Gradec |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Cezar Gabriel Papoe M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 09/07 | Christopher Thies M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 08/07 | Dario Alexandru Ciobotaru M15 Bucharest · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/07 | Niccolo Baroni M15 Store |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 26/06 | Bor Artnak M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/06 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Jonas Gundacker M15 Slovenska Bistrica · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Bocchi vs Aljaz Jeran?
Our model gives 60% to Lorenzo Bocchi, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.