Tennis · M25 Urayasu · 02/09, 03:00
Prediction: Ryota Tanuma vs Yuta Kawahashi
Team pages: Ryota Tanuma · Yuta Kawahashi
Prediction summary
Winner
Ryota Tanuma
Yuta Kawahashi
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Ryota Tanuma
6-4 (W-L)
Yuta Kawahashi
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ryota Tanuma
2–0
Yuta Kawahashi
(2 last)
- 23 Nov2-0 12-4W
- 04 Apr2-1 15-11W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ryota Tanuma 1557 · Yuta Kawahashi 1461
| Ryota Tanuma | Yuta Kawahashi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ryota Tanuma (rating 1557 vs 1461).
- Ryota Tanuma is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ryota Tanuma 2–0 Yuta Kawahashi (2).
Statistics
| Ryota Tanuma | Yuta Kawahashi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.7 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-7.1 | 9.3-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 2 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 62.7% |
| Break % | 43.9% | 40.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Ryota Tanuma 2 – 0 Yuta Kawahashi (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ryota Tanuma 2–0 Yuta Kawahashi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/23 ITF M15 Ipoh Perak | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/04/18 ITF Japan F5 | 2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ryota Tanuma
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Kai-I Wang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 17/08 | Noritaka Koizumi M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 09/08 | Corban Crowther UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/08 | Takumi Katsuda UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Eita Suzuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/08 | Ryosuke Inagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/08 | Kanata Ozaki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Ryotaro Matsumura UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Yuta Kawahashi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Qian Sun M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 28/07 | Sam Ryan Ziegann M15 Bali |
1-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Noritaka Koizumi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-1 | 5-6 | L |
| 30/06 | Hanyi Liu M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/06 | Matthew Dellavedova M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/06 | Xing Dao Chen M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 04/06 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 03/06 | Kazuma Kawachi M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ryota Tanuma vs Yuta Kawahashi?
Our model gives 64% to Ryota Tanuma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.