Tennis · M25 Urayasu · 02/09, 03:00
Prediction: Taisei Ichikawa vs Jerry Roddick
Team pages: Taisei Ichikawa · Jerry Roddick
Prediction summary
Winner
Taisei Ichikawa
Jerry Roddick
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Taisei Ichikawa
6-4 (W-L)
Jerry Roddick
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taisei Ichikawa 1470 · Jerry Roddick 1474
| Taisei Ichikawa | Jerry Roddick | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Taisei Ichikawa | Jerry Roddick | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.9-11.3 | 9.9-9.1 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 66% | 67.2% |
| Break % | 47.9% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taisei Ichikawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Tung-Lin Wu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Karan Singh Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 09/08 | Hyeon Chung Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Bali |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 24/07 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Bali |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 23/07 | Mukund Sasikumar M15 Bali |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Jumpei Yamasaki M15 Bali |
2-0 | 10-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Makoto Ochi M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Jerry Roddick
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Yamato Sueoka M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 11/08 | Joshua Peck M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Edwardsville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Jon Gamble M25 Edwardsville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Karim Bennani M25 Champaign |
1-2 | 12-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Luca Pow M25 Louisville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Bruno Kuzuhara M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Wesley Cotton M25 Dallas |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/06 | Kaylan Bigun M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Evan Bynoe M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taisei Ichikawa vs Jerry Roddick?
Our model gives 55% to Jerry Roddick, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.