Tennis · M25 Urayasu · 02/09, 03:00
Prediction: Riku Takahata vs Noritaka Koizumi
Team pages: Riku Takahata · Noritaka Koizumi
Prediction summary
Winner
Riku Takahata
Noritaka Koizumi
Estimated games
21.4
Recent form · 10 last
Riku Takahata
5-5 (W-L)
Noritaka Koizumi
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Riku Takahata 1532 · Noritaka Koizumi 1523
| Riku Takahata | Noritaka Koizumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Riku Takahata | Noritaka Koizumi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.3-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-10.2 | 10.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 67.5% | 63.4% |
| Break % | 60% | 39.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Riku Takahata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Masaki Ishikawa M25 Urayasu |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 04/08 | Ofek Shimanov M15 Astana |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Astana |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 28/07 | Arkhip Kozlov M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Astana |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 08/07 | Kasidit Samrej M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Omar Jasika M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Yusuke Kusuhara M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 30/06 | Daisuke Sumizawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Noritaka Koizumi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Masamichi Imamura M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Kuan-Yi Lee M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/08 | Ryota Tanuma M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 17/07 | Fitriadi M Rifqi M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-18 | L |
| 16/07 | James Van Herzeele M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/07 | Daniil Sarksian M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 11/07 | Arvid Nordquist M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | James Van Herzeele M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 09/07 | Wishaya Trongcharoenchaikul M15 Wuning · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Riku Takahata vs Noritaka Koizumi?
Our model gives 56% to Noritaka Koizumi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.