Tennis · M25 Urayasu · 01/09, 03:00
Prediction: Shunsuke Mitsui vs Shunsuke Nakagawa
Team pages: Shunsuke Mitsui · Shunsuke Nakagawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Shunsuke Mitsui
Shunsuke Nakagawa
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Shunsuke Mitsui
7-3 (W-L)
Shunsuke Nakagawa
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Shunsuke Mitsui 1566 · Shunsuke Nakagawa 1477
| Shunsuke Mitsui | Shunsuke Nakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 81% | 19% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shunsuke Mitsui (rating 1566 vs 1477).
- Shunsuke Mitsui is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Shunsuke Mitsui | Shunsuke Nakagawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.4 | 10.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 6 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 71.8% | 69.9% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Shunsuke Mitsui
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Matthew Dellavedova M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/08 | Tung-Lin Wu M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Tsung-Hao Huang M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/08 | Moerani Bouzige M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/08 | Sidharth Rawat Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/08 | Pawit Sornlaksup Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 09/08 | Damir Zhalgasbay M15 Astana |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Egor Pleshivtsev M15 Astana |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/08 | Shintaro Imai M15 Astana |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 07/08 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Astana |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
Shunsuke Nakagawa
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Mirza Basic Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Saba Purtseladze Challenger Samsun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/07 | Kazushi Idogaki M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Yu Tanaka M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 18/06 | Renta Tokuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/06 | Sora Fukuda M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/06 | Taketo Takamisawa M15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 03/06 | Colin Sinclair M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/04 | Masamichi Imamura Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Shunsuke Mitsui vs Shunsuke Nakagawa?
Our model gives 73% to Shunsuke Mitsui, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.