Tennis · M25 Urayasu · 02/09, 03:00
Prediction: Yusuke Takahashi vs Chase Ferguson
Team pages: Yusuke Takahashi · Chase Ferguson
Prediction summary
Winner
Yusuke Takahashi
Chase Ferguson
Estimated games
21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yusuke Takahashi
6-4 (W-L)
Chase Ferguson
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yusuke Takahashi 1538 · Chase Ferguson 1520
| Yusuke Takahashi | Chase Ferguson | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Yusuke Takahashi | Chase Ferguson | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.9 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-8.8 | 12.5-11.6 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yusuke Takahashi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Enzo Aguiard M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Denis Vishenchuk Vishenko M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 21/08 | Kokoro Isomura M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Chan-Yeong Oh M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/08 | Joshua Charlton M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Asahi Harazaki M15 Bali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Alexander Chang M15 Bali |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 23/07 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Bali |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Yuta Tomida M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Chase Ferguson
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Rigele Te M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Fumin Jiang M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 27/08 | Hanyi Liu M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Yua Taka M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 19/08 | Yunseong Chung M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Duje Markovina M15 Brisbane |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Derek Pham M15 Brisbane |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 17/07 | Jake Delaney M25 Brisbane |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 16/07 | Mustafa Ege Sik M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/07 | Yuki Mochizuki M25 Brisbane |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yusuke Takahashi vs Chase Ferguson?
Our model gives 60% to Yusuke Takahashi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.