Tennis · US Open · 02/09, 17:00

Prediction: Jaume Munar vs Arthur Rinderknech

Team pages: Jaume Munar · Arthur Rinderknech

Prediction summary
Winner
45% 55%
Jaume Munar Arthur Rinderknech
Estimated games
28.8Bet365 line 40.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jaume Munar 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWWLLWL
Arthur Rinderknech 3-7 (W-L)
WWLLLLLLWL
Head-to-head
Jaume Munar 1–1 Arthur Rinderknech (2 last)
  • 19 Mar2-0 13-9W
  • 20 Sept1-2 13-15L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Jaume Munar 1499 · Arthur Rinderknech 1509
Jaume MunarArthur Rinderknech
Our model49%51%
Market41%59%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Arthur Rinderknech dominates on serve: 17.9 aces and 40.7% break avg.
  • Note: Arthur Rinderknech makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Jaume MunarArthur Rinderknech
Win %40%50%
Win % · Grass 40% (5) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.61.8-1.5
Games (G-P)13.6-14.619.2-17.4
Aces7.317.9
Double faults3.44.8
1st serve %72.2%79.3%
Break %32.2%40.7%
Estimated total games (ours) 28.8 · Bet365 line 40.5 · -11.7
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.

H2H · Jaume Munar 11 Arthur Rinderknech (2)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Jaume Munar 11 Arthur Rinderknech

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DateSetsGamesRes.
19/03/25
ATP Miami
2-013-9W
20/09/22
ATP Metz
1-213-15L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Jaume Munar

WLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Terence Atmane
US Open · Hard
3-2 29-25 W
02/08 Rinky Hijikata
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
13/07 Dominic Stephan Stricker
ATP Gstaad · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
04/07 Jiri Lehecka
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 18-22 L
02/07 Jacob Fearnley
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-14 W
30/06 Francisco Cerundolo
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 18-8 W
22/06 Zizou Bergs
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
09/06 Martin Damm
ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass
0-2 8-12 L
25/05 Hubert Hurkacz
French Open · Clay
1-3 15-20 L
21/05 Mariano Navone
ATP Geneva · Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Arthur Rinderknech

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Sho Shimabukuro
US Open · Hard
3-1 25-17 W
16/08 Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 18-18 L
08/08 Brandon Nakashima
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 18-19 L
05/08 Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-1 18-15 W
22/07 Sebastian Baez
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
1-2 16-15 L
17/07 Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Gstaad · Clay
1-2 12-15 L
15/07 Clement Tabur
ATP Gstaad · Clay
2-1 20-18 W
03/07 Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 21-21 L
01/07 Martin Damm
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-13 W
29/06 Oliver Tarvet
Wimbledon · Grass
3-1 25-23 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Jaume Munar vs Arthur Rinderknech?

Our model gives 55% to Arthur Rinderknech, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.