Prediction: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel
Team pages: Jiri Lehecka · Toby Samuel
Prediction summary
Winner
Jiri Lehecka
Toby Samuel
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 39.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jiri Lehecka
7-3 (W-L)
Toby Samuel
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jiri Lehecka 1538 · Toby Samuel 1609
| Jiri Lehecka | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 70% | 30% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Toby Samuel (rating 1538 vs 1609).
- Toby Samuel is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Toby Samuel makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Jiri Lehecka | Toby Samuel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1.2 | 1.9-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.6-13.5 | 13.6-7.4 |
| Aces | 10.5 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 75.8% | 75% |
| Break % | 37.3% | 45.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 39.5 · -15.6
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiri Lehecka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Pablo Carreno Busta US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 23-15 | W |
| 18/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/08 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 09/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Alexander Blockx ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Vit Kopriva ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-23 | L |
| 04/07 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Alex Molcan Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
Toby Samuel
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Tomas Machac US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 26/08 | Billy Harris US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 24/08 | Francesco Maestrelli US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/07 | Charles Broom Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/07 | Yu Hsiou Hsu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/07 | Mikael Arseneault Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel?
Our model gives 57% to Jiri Lehecka, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.