Tennis · US Open · 02/09, 17:00

Prediction: Dino Prizmic vs Tommy Paul

Team pages: Dino Prizmic · Tommy Paul

Prediction summary
Winner
31% 69%
Dino Prizmic Tommy Paul
Estimated games
26.6Bet365 line 38.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dino Prizmic 5-5 (W-L)
LWWWLLWWLL
Tommy Paul 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dino Prizmic 1485 · Tommy Paul 1552
Dino PrizmicTommy Paul
Our model40%60%
Market24%76%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tommy Paul (rating 1485 vs 1552).
  • Tommy Paul dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 49.6% break avg.
  • Note: Dino Prizmic makes many double faults (4.3/match).

Statistics

Dino PrizmicTommy Paul
Win %40%60%
Win % · Hard 33% (3) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.71.6-1.3
Games (G-P)15.2-15.315.4-14.2
Aces68.3
Double faults4.32.6
1st serve %71.7%73.1%
Break %37.6%49.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 26.6 · Bet365 line 38.5 · -11.9
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Dino Prizmic

LWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Alexander Shevchenko
US Open · Hard
3-2 26-24 W
20/08 Alexis Galarneau
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
13/08 Cameron Norrie
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
13/07 Vit Kopriva
ATP Umag · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
01/07 Felix Auger Aliassime
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 14-20 L
29/06 Adam Walton
Wimbledon · Grass
3-1 23-18 W
13/06 Rinky Hijikata
ATP Queens · Grass
1-2 15-17 L
27/05 Joao Fonseca
French Open · Clay
2-3 18-25 L
24/05 Michael Zheng
French Open · Clay
3-0 18-5 W
12/05 Karen Khachanov
ATP Rome · Clay
0-2 7-13 L

Tommy Paul

WWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/08 Coleman Wong
US Open · Hard
3-1 24-14 W
20/08 Flavio Cobolli
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 13-14 L
19/08 Alexander Zverev
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
18/08 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 15-13 W
15/08 Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
08/08 Learner Tien
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
06/08 Valentin Royer
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
28/07 Kamil Majchrzak
ATP Washington · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
03/07 Hubert Hurkacz
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 19-24 L
01/07 Soonwoo Kwon
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dino Prizmic vs Tommy Paul?

Our model gives 69% to Tommy Paul, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.