Tennis · M25 Urayasu · 31/08, 04:30

Prediction: Riku Takahata vs Masaki Ishikawa

Team pages: Riku Takahata · Masaki Ishikawa

Prediction summary
Winner
63% 37%
Riku Takahata Masaki Ishikawa
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Riku Takahata 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLWLLWLL
Masaki Ishikawa 3-7 (W-L)
LLLLWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Riku Takahata 1499 · Masaki Ishikawa 1492
Riku TakahataMasaki Ishikawa
Our model51%49%
Market73%27%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Riku TakahataMasaki Ishikawa
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 50% (6) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11-1.2
Games (G-P)10.6-11.38.1-9.3
Aces2.71.1
Double faults2.33.3
1st serve %63.8%59.4%
Break %51.4%43.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Riku Takahata

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Ofek Shimanov
M15 Astana
0-2 11-14 L
29/07 Kasidit Samrej
M15 Astana
1-2 16-19 L
28/07 Arkhip Kozlov
M15 Astana
2-0 12-7 W
27/07 Makar Krivoshchekov
M15 Astana
2-1 13-11 W
08/07 Kasidit Samrej
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
07/07 Daisuke Sumizawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-8 W
02/07 Omar Jasika
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
01/07 Yusuke Kusuhara
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
30/06 Daisuke Sumizawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
11/06 Jake Delaney
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Masaki Ishikawa

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/07 Thanaphat Boosarawongse
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-1 2-6 L
09/07 James Van Herzeele
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
0-2 3-12 L
08/07 Tianhui Zhang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-0 10-4 W
07/07 Minghui Zhang
M15 Wuning · ~Hard
2-1 8-7 W
21/02 Naoto Tomizawa
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
19/02 Katsutoshi Suzuki
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
18/02 Ryotaro Matsumura
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
17/02 Taketo Takamisawa
UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
07/02 Taketo Takamisawa
UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard
2-1 16-9 W
06/02 Gaku Nayuki
UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard
2-1 18-13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Riku Takahata vs Masaki Ishikawa?

Our model gives 63% to Riku Takahata, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.