Tennis · M25 Urayasu · 31/08, 03:00

Prediction: Makoto Ochi vs Yuya Hirose

Team pages: Makoto Ochi · Yuya Hirose

Prediction summary
Winner
71% 29%
Makoto Ochi Yuya Hirose
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Makoto Ochi 5-5 (W-L)
WWLWWLLLWL
Yuya Hirose 5-5 (W-L)
WLWWLWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Makoto Ochi 1516 · Yuya Hirose 1501
Makoto OchiYuya Hirose
Our model52%48%
Market87%13%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Yuya Hirose makes many double faults (4.7/match).

Statistics

Makoto OchiYuya Hirose
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 67% (6) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.2-1.11-1.2
Games (G-P)10.8-10.89.4-9.4
Aces1.80.2
Double faults0.74.7
1st serve %67.9%61.4%
Break %49.2%43.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Makoto Ochi

LLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/08 Sean Cuenin
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 8-13 L
12/08 Drazen Petrovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
2-0 12-3 W
04/08 Vuk Radjenovic
M25 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
1-2 12-14 L
29/07 Pietro Pampanin
M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay
0-2 7-13 L
10/07 Koki Matsuda
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
0-2 9-13 L
09/07 Kasidit Samrej
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
08/07 Taisei Ichikawa
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
07/07 Shu Muto
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-1 12-11 W
01/07 Maximus Jones
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
1-2 10-15 L
30/06 Kazuma Kawachi
M15 Tokyo · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W

Yuya Hirose

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/07 Stefan Storch
M15 Bali
0-2 4-12 L
26/07 Ethan David Zapp
M15 Bali Qual
2-0 12-2 W
22/07 Yuttana Charoenphon
M15 Bali
0-2 7-12 L
20/07 Yuttana Charoenphon
M15 Bali
0-2 10-13 L
19/07 Finley Dyer
M15 Bali
2-1 8-7 W
04/06 Tai Leonard Sach
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
0-2 5-12 L
02/06 Gray Voelzke
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-1 20-18 W
01/06 Yuki Karatsu
M15 Harmon · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
17/02 Noah Brownrigg
M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
30/11 Jacob K Shen
UTR Pro Kakogawa · Hard
2-0 12-2 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Makoto Ochi vs Yuya Hirose?

Our model gives 71% to Makoto Ochi, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.