Tennis · M25 Urayasu · 31/08, 03:00
Prediction: Alejandro Hayen vs Seiya Nakanishi
Team pages: Alejandro Hayen
Prediction summary
Winner
Alejandro Hayen
Seiya Nakanishi
Estimated games
19.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alejandro Hayen
4-6 (W-L)
Seiya Nakanishi
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alejandro Hayen 1449 · Seiya Nakanishi 1433
| Alejandro Hayen | Seiya Nakanishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Seiya Nakanishi makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Alejandro Hayen | Seiya Nakanishi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | 20% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.4 | 0.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.4-11.5 | 6.6-12.2 |
| Aces | 2.4 | 1.4 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 60.2% | 60% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 36.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alejandro Hayen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/07 | Reece Falck M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Joaquim Almeida M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/06 | Juan Sebastian Osorio Challenger Quito · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 28/06 | Darwin Andres Macias Elizalde Challenger Quito · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/06 | Tomas Martinez Challenger Piracicaba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Ignacio Parisca Romera Challenger Asuncion · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Artem Alekseychuk M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/04 | Rodrigo Alujas M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 22/04 | Lance A L Castelan M25 Xalapa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 07/04 | Beibit Zhukayev Challenger Mexico City · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Seiya Nakanishi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/06 | Tai Leonard Sach M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/06 | Dong Kyu Lee M15 Harmon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 7-10 | W |
| 20/02 | Naoki Nakagawa UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/02 | Kazuma Kawachi UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/02 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/02 | Kosuke Morita UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 06/02 | Koyu Yanagi UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 05/02 | Dorian Kos UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 04/02 | Taketo Takamisawa UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 02/02 | Daisuke Sumizawa UTR Pro Yokohama · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alejandro Hayen vs Seiya Nakanishi?
Our model gives 67% to Alejandro Hayen, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.