Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00

Prediction: Tamara Zidansek vs Maria Timofeeva

Team pages: Tamara Zidansek · Maria Timofeeva

Prediction summary
Winner
41% 59%
Tamara Zidansek Maria Timofeeva
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Tamara Zidansek 6-4 (W-L)
WLLWWWWLWL
Maria Timofeeva 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWLWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Tamara Zidansek 1558 · Maria Timofeeva 1546
Tamara ZidansekMaria Timofeeva
Our model52%48%
Market32%68%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Tamara Zidansek makes many double faults (4/match).

Statistics

Tamara ZidansekMaria Timofeeva
Win %70%70%
Win % · Hard 100% (3) 67% (6)
Sets (G-P)1.6-11.5-0.9
Games (G-P)14.2-12.710.9-10.2
Aces1.92.1
Double faults43.9
1st serve %58.2%62.5%
Break %50%45.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.9 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.4
Over 21.5: 60% · 1.80 Under 21.5: 40% · 1.90

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Tamara Zidansek

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
28/08 Bianca Andreescu
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 14-13 W
26/08 Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
US Open Women · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
25/08 Laura Samsonova
US Open Women · Hard
2-1 19-16 W
21/07 Alevtina Ibragimova
WTA Palermo · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
18/07 Paula Badosa
WTA Iasi · Clay
1-2 17-17 L
17/07 Petra Marcinko
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
15/07 Anna Bondar
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-1 20-18 W
14/07 Emiliana Arango
WTA Iasi · Clay
2-1 17-12 W
10/07 Teodora Kostovic
W100 Aschaffenburg
0-2 3-12 L
07/07 Nastasja Schunk
W100 Aschaffenburg
2-0 13-8 W

Maria Timofeeva

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Shuai Zhang
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
23/08 Kamilla Rakhimova
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-1 16-15 W
22/08 Lanlana Tararudee
WTA Monterrey · Hard
2-1 16-18 W
23/07 Sara Bejlek
WTA Prague · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
21/07 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
WTA Prague · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
14/07 Ann Li
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 3-12 L
02/07 Elise Mertens
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 9-14 L
30/06 Beatriz Haddad Maia
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
25/06 Heather Watson
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-1 15-9 W
24/06 Veronika Podrez
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Tamara Zidansek vs Maria Timofeeva?

Our model gives 59% to Maria Timofeeva, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.