Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Qinwen Zheng vs Kristina Liutova
Team pages: Qinwen Zheng · Kristina Liutova
Prediction summary
Winner
Qinwen Zheng
Kristina Liutova
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Qinwen Zheng
7-3 (W-L)
Kristina Liutova
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Qinwen Zheng 1531 · Kristina Liutova 1628
| Qinwen Zheng | Kristina Liutova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kristina Liutova (rating 1531 vs 1628).
- Kristina Liutova is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Note: Qinwen Zheng makes many double faults (5.6/match).
Statistics
| Qinwen Zheng | Kristina Liutova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 90% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.1 | 13-10.1 |
| Aces | 7.9 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 5.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 73% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 38% | 57.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.6
Over 22.5: 46% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 54% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Qinwen Zheng
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Elena Pridankina US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Clara Burel US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Xiaodi You US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Elena Micic WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Kristina Liutova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Martyna Kubka US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 27/08 | Lola Radivojevic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Tatiana Prozorova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 02/08 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 31/07 | Caty McNally WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Maya Joint WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 27/07 | Maria Kozyreva WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/07 | Lucrezia Stefanini W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Sofia Johnson W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Qinwen Zheng vs Kristina Liutova?
Our model gives 52% to Qinwen Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.