Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Lucie Havlickova vs Anna Bondar
Team pages: Lucie Havlickova · Anna Bondar
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Havlickova
Anna Bondar
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Havlickova
6-4 (W-L)
Anna Bondar
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucie Havlickova
0–1
Anna Bondar
(1 last)
- 09 Sept0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Havlickova 1538 · Anna Bondar 1493
| Lucie Havlickova | Anna Bondar | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lucie Havlickova (rating 1538 vs 1493).
- Head-to-head: Lucie Havlickova 0–1 Anna Bondar (1).
- Note: Lucie Havlickova makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Lucie Havlickova | Anna Bondar | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 57% (7) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-10.5 | 12.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 6.4 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 66.5% |
| Break % | 47.5% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 52% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 48% · 1.83
H2H · Lucie Havlickova 0 – 1 Anna Bondar (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucie Havlickova 0–1 Anna Bondar
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/09/23 ITF W60 Montreux | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Havlickova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Nao Hibino US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/08 | Moyuka Uchijima US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Elizara Yaneva US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Prague |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Victoria Bervid W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Harmony Tan WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Nao Hibino W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
Anna Bondar
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Monterrey · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 24/08 | En Shuo Liang WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 23/08 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Monterrey · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/08 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Elise Mertens WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 03/08 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/07 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 25/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 24/07 | Alina Charaeva WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Noma Noha Akugue WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Havlickova vs Anna Bondar?
Our model gives 50% to Lucie Havlickova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.