Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Harriet Dart vs Peyton Stearns
Team pages: Harriet Dart · Peyton Stearns
Prediction summary
Winner
Harriet Dart
Peyton Stearns
Estimated games
21.7Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Harriet Dart
5-5 (W-L)
Peyton Stearns
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Harriet Dart
1–1
Peyton Stearns
(2 last)
- 14 Aug0-2 7-13L
- 25 Aug2-1 16-12W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Harriet Dart 1530 · Peyton Stearns 1489
| Harriet Dart | Peyton Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Harriet Dart (rating 1530 vs 1489).
- Note: Harriet Dart makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Peyton Stearns makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Harriet Dart | Peyton Stearns | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.9-9.4 | 11.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 3.7 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.6% | 64.7% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 39.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.2
Over 20.5: 58% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 42% · 1.90
H2H · Harriet Dart 1 – 1 Peyton Stearns (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Harriet Dart 1–1 Peyton Stearns
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08/26 WTA Cincinnati | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/08/21 US Open Women | 2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Harriet Dart
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Heather Watson US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Kristina Penickova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 25/08 | Jordyn Hazelitt US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Peyton Stearns WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Aoi Ito WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 30/07 | Taylah Preston WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Kayla Cross WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Peyton Stearns
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Clara Tauson WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 14/08 | Harriet Dart WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Elvina Kalieva WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 30/07 | Tatiana Prozorova WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 29/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 29/06 | Nikola Bartunkova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 21/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 20/06 | Emily Appleton WTA Eastbourne · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Belinda Bencic French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Harriet Dart vs Peyton Stearns?
Our model gives 62% to Peyton Stearns, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.