Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Mary Stoiana vs Alexandra Eala
Team pages: Mary Stoiana · Alexandra Eala
Prediction summary
Winner
Mary Stoiana
Alexandra Eala
Estimated games
23.2Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mary Stoiana
7-3 (W-L)
Alexandra Eala
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mary Stoiana
0–1
Alexandra Eala
(1 last)
- 09 Aug0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mary Stoiana 1539 · Alexandra Eala 1574
| Mary Stoiana | Alexandra Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Mary Stoiana 0–1 Alexandra Eala (1).
Statistics
| Mary Stoiana | Alexandra Eala | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-11.8 | 13.1-10.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 64.2% | 65.6% |
| Break % | 54% | 45.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +3.7
Over 19.5: 74% · 1.80
Under 19.5: 26% · 1.90
H2H · Mary Stoiana 0 – 1 Alexandra Eala (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mary Stoiana 0–1 Alexandra Eala
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/24 W100 Landisville | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mary Stoiana
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Yue Yuan US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Katie Swan US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Harmony Tan US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Tereza Valentova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Alina Korneeva WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Peyton Stearns WTA Memphis · Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/07 | Julieta Pareja W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Alexandra Eala
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Amanda Anisimova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 10/08 | Belinda Bencic WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Caty McNally WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Alycia Parks WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 03/08 | Jessica Pegula WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Naomi Osaka WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Elina Svitolina WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 06/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mary Stoiana vs Alexandra Eala?
Our model gives 69% to Alexandra Eala, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.