Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Magda Linette vs Francesca Jones
Team pages: Magda Linette · Francesca Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Magda Linette
Francesca Jones
Estimated games
21Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Magda Linette
2-8 (W-L)
Francesca Jones
9-1 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magda Linette 1458 · Francesca Jones 1600
| Magda Linette | Francesca Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 69% |
| Market | 55% | 45% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Francesca Jones (rating 1458 vs 1600).
- Francesca Jones is in better form: 100% recent wins.
Statistics
| Magda Linette | Francesca Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 100% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 100% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.4 | 2-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.6 | 13.3-7.8 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 62.7% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 40% | 61.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.5
Over 22.5: 40% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 60% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magda Linette
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Iva Jovic WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Carol Zhao WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Leylah Annie Fernandez WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Mai Hontama WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Mirra Andreeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/06 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/06 | Mia Pohankova WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/06 | Kimberly Birrell WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
Francesca Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Joanna Garland US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Mona Barthel US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Nuria Brancaccio US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Alice Rame WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 30/07 | Lucija Ciric Bagaric WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Chloe Paquet WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
2-1 | 13-6 | W |
| 26/07 | Fiona Ferro WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/07 | Alevtina Ibragimova WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 23/07 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magda Linette vs Francesca Jones?
Our model gives 56% to Francesca Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.