Tennis · US Open Women · 01/09, 17:00
Prediction: Anouk Koevermans vs Caty McNally
Team pages: Anouk Koevermans · Caty McNally
Prediction summary
Winner
Anouk Koevermans
Caty McNally
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Anouk Koevermans
4-6 (W-L)
Caty McNally
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Anouk Koevermans 1512 · Caty McNally 1538
| Anouk Koevermans | Caty McNally | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 19% | 81% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Anouk Koevermans dominates on serve: 8.3 aces and 49.2% break avg.
- Note: Anouk Koevermans makes many double faults (4.5/match).
- Note: Caty McNally makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Anouk Koevermans | Caty McNally | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (3) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-10.5 | 11.5-10.8 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 4.5 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 69.6% | 58.8% |
| Break % | 49.2% | 52.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2
Over 19.5: 64% · 2.00
Under 19.5: 36% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Anouk Koevermans
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Mariam Bolkvadze US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Linda Klimovicova US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Carole Monnet US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 12/08 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Daniella Britton W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/06 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/05 | Polina Kudermetova French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/05 | Anna Siskova W75 Trnava |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
Caty McNally
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Anna Kalinskaya WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | McCartney Kessler WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/08 | Alexandra Eala WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Linda Noskova WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Tatjana Maria WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 31/07 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Yexin Ma WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/07 | Xiyu Wang WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Elena Rybakina Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Elena-Gabriela Ruse Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Anouk Koevermans vs Caty McNally?
Our model gives 69% to Caty McNally, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.