Tennis · US Open Women · 30/08, 19:00
Prediction: Elvina Kalieva vs Lanlana Tararudee
Team pages: Elvina Kalieva · Lanlana Tararudee
Prediction summary
Winner
Elvina Kalieva
Lanlana Tararudee
Estimated games
23.2Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elvina Kalieva
4-6 (W-L)
Lanlana Tararudee
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elvina Kalieva 1539 · Lanlana Tararudee 1536
| Elvina Kalieva | Lanlana Tararudee | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Elvina Kalieva makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Lanlana Tararudee makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Elvina Kalieva | Lanlana Tararudee | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-12.3 | 12.9-11 |
| Aces | 4.5 | 4 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 64.8% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 44.6% | 47.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.7
Over 21.5: 62% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 38% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elvina Kalieva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Vendula Valdmannova US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 27/08 | Sofia Costoulas US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Kristina Mladenovic US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/08 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Katrina Scott W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Kristina Liutova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Peyton Stearns WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Zeynep Sonmez WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 28/07 | Katherine Sebov WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
Lanlana Tararudee
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Monterrey · Hard |
1-2 | 18-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Emerson Jones WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 03/08 | Emerson Jones WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Qinwen Zheng WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/07 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 17-18 | W |
| 21/07 | Jana Kovackova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/07 | Hanne Vandewinkel WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 18/07 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elvina Kalieva vs Lanlana Tararudee?
Our model gives 58% to Lanlana Tararudee, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.