Tennis · US Open Women · 30/08, 19:00
Prediction: Marta Kostyuk vs Storm Hunter
Team pages: Marta Kostyuk · Storm Hunter
Prediction summary
Winner
Marta Kostyuk
Storm Hunter
Estimated games
22.3Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marta Kostyuk
6-4 (W-L)
Storm Hunter
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marta Kostyuk
1–0
Storm Hunter
(1 last)
- 10 Aug2-0 12-0W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marta Kostyuk 1569 · Storm Hunter 1542
| Marta Kostyuk | Storm Hunter | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 88% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Marta Kostyuk 1–0 Storm Hunter (1).
- Note: Marta Kostyuk makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Storm Hunter makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Marta Kostyuk | Storm Hunter | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-9.4 | 13.4-12.1 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 5.1 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 74.2% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 66% | 55% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +3.8
Over 18.5: 75% · 1.72
Under 18.5: 25% · 2.00
H2H · Marta Kostyuk 1 – 0 Storm Hunter (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marta Kostyuk 1–0 Storm Hunter
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08/20 WTA Prague | 2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marta Kostyuk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Coco Gauff WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Mirra Andreeva WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Sloane Stephens WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Sofia Kenin WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 08/08 | Iga Swiatek WTA Toronto · Hard |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Madison Keys WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Katherine Sebov WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Linda Noskova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Jasmine Paolini Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/07 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Storm Hunter
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Darja Semenistaja US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/08 | Yeon Woo Ku US Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Maddison Inglis US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/07 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 26/07 | Sofia Johnson WTA Memphis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 24/06 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 23/06 | Sofia Costoulas Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/06 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 07/06 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 20/05 | Xiyu Wang French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marta Kostyuk vs Storm Hunter?
Our model gives 73% to Marta Kostyuk, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.