Prediction: Lloyd Harris vs Jack Kennedy
Team pages: Lloyd Harris · Jack Kennedy
Prediction summary
Winner
Lloyd Harris
Jack Kennedy
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 35.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lloyd Harris
7-3 (W-L)
Jack Kennedy
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lloyd Harris 1617 · Jack Kennedy 1492
| Lloyd Harris | Jack Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lloyd Harris (rating 1617 vs 1492).
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 7.3 aces and 72.7% break avg.
- Lloyd Harris is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Lloyd Harris | Jack Kennedy | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.5 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-9.6 | 10.5-12.4 |
| Aces | 7.3 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 76.9% | 56% |
| Break % | 72.7% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 35.5 · -13
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Henrique Rocha US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Bernard Tomic US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/08 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 22/08 | Vit Kopriva Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 20/08 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Laslo Djere Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Daniel Milavsky Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Jack Kennedy
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 07/07 | Evan Zhu M25 Dallas |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 03/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Liam Broady Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 30/06 | Kaichi Uchida Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/05 | Alex Marti Pujolras M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Keaton Hance M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 21/05 | David Naharro M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/05 | Ilias Zimmermann M25 Mataro · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/05 | Daniel Rincon M25 Vic |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lloyd Harris vs Jack Kennedy?
Our model gives 74% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.