Prediction: Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley
Team pages: Martin Landaluce · Jacob Fearnley
Prediction summary
Winner
Martin Landaluce
Jacob Fearnley
Estimated games
23.7Bet365 line 38.5
Recent form · 10 last
Martin Landaluce
4-6 (W-L)
Jacob Fearnley
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Martin Landaluce 1471 · Jacob Fearnley 1541
| Martin Landaluce | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jacob Fearnley (rating 1471 vs 1541).
- Jacob Fearnley is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Martin Landaluce makes many double faults (5.9/match).
- Note: Jacob Fearnley makes many double faults (5.3/match).
Statistics
| Martin Landaluce | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (6) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-13.9 | 12.4-11.4 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 5.9 | 5.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.9% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 37.1% | 43.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7 · Bet365 line 38.5 · -14.8
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Martin Landaluce
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 17/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 15/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jack Draper ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 29/07 | Michael Zheng ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Soonwoo Kwon Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 22/06 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Mallorca · Grass |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 15/06 | Terence Atmane ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Tom Gentzsch ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Jacob Fearnley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Jurij Rodionov US Open · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 26/08 | Luka Pavlovic US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 24/08 | Roberto Carballes Baena US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/08 | Taro Daniel Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/08 | Mackenzie McDonald Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 06/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Martin Landaluce vs Jacob Fearnley?
Our model gives 56% to Jacob Fearnley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.