Tennis · US Open · 01/09, 17:00

Prediction: Alexander Blockx vs Tomas Barrios Vera

Team pages: Alexander Blockx · Tomas Barrios Vera

Prediction summary
Winner
70% 30%
Alexander Blockx Tomas Barrios Vera
Estimated games
25.9Bet365 line 33.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Blockx 4-6 (W-L)
WLWLWLLLWL
Tomas Barrios Vera 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLLLWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alexander Blockx 1525 · Tomas Barrios Vera 1481
Alexander BlockxTomas Barrios Vera
Our model56%44%
Market81%19%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Blockx (rating 1525 vs 1481).
  • Note: Alexander Blockx makes many double faults (5.9/match).

Statistics

Alexander BlockxTomas Barrios Vera
Win %50%40%
Win % · Clay 67% (6) 0% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.41.2-1.5
Games (G-P)15.1-15.413.2-12.6
Aces9.12.5
Double faults5.91.5
1st serve %75.4%67.1%
Break %35%37%
Estimated total games (ours) 25.9 · Bet365 line 33.5 · -7.6
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alexander Blockx

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
17/08 Flavio Cobolli
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 16-18 L
15/08 Mariano Navone
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
07/08 Jiri Lehecka
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
26/07 Luca Van Assche
ATP Estoril · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
25/07 Luciano Darderi
ATP Estoril · Clay
2-1 19-19 W
24/07 Roman Andres Burruchaga
ATP Estoril · Clay
2-1 17-15 W
22/07 Kyrian Jacquet
ATP Estoril · Clay
2-1 16-16 W
14/07 Titouan Droguet
ATP Umag · Clay
1-2 8-15 L
30/06 Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 23-26 L
24/05 Coleman Wong
French Open · Clay
3-0 18-9 W

Tomas Barrios Vera

LLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/08 Daniel Rincon
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
26/08 Genaro Alberto Olivieri
US Open · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
24/08 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
US Open · Hard
2-1 17-9 W
20/08 Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Challenger Cancun · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
01/08 Aleksandar Vukic
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
21/07 Dylan Dietrich
Challenger Zug · Clay
1-2 11-16 L
14/07 Niels Visker
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
07/07 Ilia Simakin
Challenger Iasi · Clay
1-2 17-18 L
25/06 Dane Sweeny
Wimbledon · Grass
2-3 24-23 L
24/06 Paul Jubb
Wimbledon · Grass
2-1 15-11 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alexander Blockx vs Tomas Barrios Vera?

Our model gives 70% to Alexander Blockx, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.