Prediction: Mattia Bellucci vs Zsombor Piros
Team pages: Mattia Bellucci · Zsombor Piros
Prediction summary
Winner
Mattia Bellucci
Zsombor Piros
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 39.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mattia Bellucci
6-4 (W-L)
Zsombor Piros
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mattia Bellucci
0–2
Zsombor Piros
(2 last)
- 15 Feb0-2 8-13L
- 14 Feb0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mattia Bellucci 1500 · Zsombor Piros 1578
| Mattia Bellucci | Zsombor Piros | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zsombor Piros (rating 1500 vs 1578).
- Zsombor Piros is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mattia Bellucci 0–2 Zsombor Piros (2).
Statistics
| Mattia Bellucci | Zsombor Piros | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.2 | 1.6-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.3-13.1 | 12-8.1 |
| Aces | 7.4 | 3.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 39% | 55.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 39.5 · -16
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Mattia Bellucci 0 – 2 Zsombor Piros (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mattia Bellucci 0–2 Zsombor Piros
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/24 Challenger Cherbourg | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/02/24 Challenger Cherbourg | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mattia Bellucci
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 23/08 | Martin Landaluce ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Zachary Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Raphael Collignon ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Alexander Bublik ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/06 | Alex Bolt ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 13/06 | Mikhail Kukushkin ATP Halle · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Zsombor Piros
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Daniil Glinka US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 25/08 | Max Alcala Gurri US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/08 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Guy Den Ouden Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Daniel Rincon Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Zug · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Jerome Kym Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/07 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mattia Bellucci vs Zsombor Piros?
Our model gives 55% to Mattia Bellucci, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.