Prediction: Jurij Rodionov vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Team pages: Jurij Rodionov · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Prediction summary
Winner
Jurij Rodionov
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 39.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jurij Rodionov
6-4 (W-L)
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jurij Rodionov 1550 · Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 1445
| Jurij Rodionov | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jurij Rodionov (rating 1550 vs 1445).
- Jurij Rodionov dominates on serve: 6.2 aces and 40.9% break avg.
- Jurij Rodionov is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Jurij Rodionov | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (4) | 0% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.8 | 12.9-13.8 |
| Aces | 6.2 | 16.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 72% | 76.3% |
| Break % | 40.9% | 32.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.8 · Bet365 line 39.5 · -15.7
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jurij Rodionov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Jacob Fearnley US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Frederico Ferreira Silva US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
| 24/08 | Kimmer Coppejans US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 18/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Jamie Mackenzie Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Niels McDonald Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Pedro Boscardin Dias Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/07 | Joel Schwaerzler ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 19/07 | Vitaliy Sachko ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Trevor Svajda ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Yannick Hanfmann Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-25 | L |
| 16/06 | Corentin Moutet ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 14/06 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Johannus Monday ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/06 | Alexander Bublik ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/06 | Gauthier Onclin ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 09/06 | Roman Safiullin ATP Stuttgart · Grass |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jurij Rodionov vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard?
Our model gives 50% to Jurij Rodionov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.