Prediction: Jesper De Jong vs Francesco Passaro
Team pages: Jesper De Jong · Francesco Passaro
Prediction summary
Winner
Jesper De Jong
Francesco Passaro
Estimated games
24.1Bet365 line 39.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jesper De Jong
5-5 (W-L)
Francesco Passaro
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jesper De Jong
2–0
Francesco Passaro
(2 last)
- 27 May3-2 28-24W
- 30 Apr2-1 19-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jesper De Jong 1495 · Francesco Passaro 1511
| Jesper De Jong | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Jesper De Jong 2–0 Francesco Passaro (2).
- Note: Jesper De Jong makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Jesper De Jong | Francesco Passaro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 33% (3) | 43% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.5 | 1.3-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-12.7 | 11.4-10.8 |
| Aces | 8.5 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.7% | 73.3% |
| Break % | 29% | 42.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1 · Bet365 line 39.5 · -15.4
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Jesper De Jong 2 – 0 Francesco Passaro (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jesper De Jong 2–0 Francesco Passaro
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/25 French Open | 3-2 | 28-24 | W |
| 30/04/24 Challenger Cagliari | 2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jesper De Jong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Adam Walton ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/08 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Timofey Skatov ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 16/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Vilius Gaubas ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 01/07 | Joao Fonseca Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Rinky Hijikata Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-26 | W |
Francesco Passaro
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/08 | Tom Gentzsch US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 24/08 | Felix Gill US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Oriol Roca Batalla Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Carlo Alberto Caniato Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 27/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Dominic Stephan Stricker Challenger Zug · Clay |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 13/07 | Martin Krumich ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Maks Kasnikowski ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jesper De Jong vs Francesco Passaro?
Our model gives 51% to Francesco Passaro, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.