Prediction: Dalibor Svrcina vs Valentin Royer
Team pages: Dalibor Svrcina · Valentin Royer
Prediction summary
Winner
Dalibor Svrcina
Valentin Royer
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 38.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dalibor Svrcina
4-6 (W-L)
Valentin Royer
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dalibor Svrcina
2–0
Valentin Royer
(2 last)
- 05 Apr2-0 13-8W
- 04 Jun2-1 18-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalibor Svrcina 1490 · Valentin Royer 1547
| Dalibor Svrcina | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Valentin Royer (rating 1490 vs 1547).
- Head-to-head: Dalibor Svrcina 2–0 Valentin Royer (2).
- Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (6/match).
- Note: Valentin Royer makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Dalibor Svrcina | Valentin Royer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (8) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-13 | 12.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| Double faults | 6 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 68.4% |
| Break % | 56.9% | 40.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 38.5 · -13.9
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Dalibor Svrcina 2 – 0 Valentin Royer (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalibor Svrcina 2–0 Valentin Royer
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/25 Challenger Barletta | 2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/06/24 Challenger Prostejov | 2-1 | 18-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalibor Svrcina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Mackenzie McDonald US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 26/08 | Alexis Galarneau US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 24/08 | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves US Open · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/08 | Stan Wawrinka Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Adam Walton ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Valentin Royer
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Pedro Martinez Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/08 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 19/08 | Tyler Zink Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Luis Guto Miguel Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 14/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 06/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/07 | Titouan Droguet Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalibor Svrcina vs Valentin Royer?
Our model gives 54% to Valentin Royer, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.