Prediction: Luciano Darderi vs Harry Wendelken
Team pages: Luciano Darderi · Harry Wendelken
Prediction summary
Winner
Luciano Darderi
Harry Wendelken
Estimated games
25.1Bet365 line 38.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luciano Darderi
2-8 (W-L)
Harry Wendelken
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luciano Darderi 1505 · Harry Wendelken 1522
| Luciano Darderi | Harry Wendelken | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Luciano Darderi | Harry Wendelken | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.4 | 1.3-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-11.8 | 13.8-15 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 67.7% | 66.7% |
| Break % | 24.6% | 43.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.1 · Bet365 line 38.5 · -13.4
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luciano Darderi
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 25/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 06/08 | Juncheng Shang ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 25/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Jaime Faria ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 23/07 | Pedro Martinez ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 19/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Harry Wendelken
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/08 | Vilius Gaubas US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 26/08 | Remy Bertola US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 24/08 | Stefano Travaglia US Open · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Borna Gojo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Valentin Royer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 20/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luciano Darderi vs Harry Wendelken?
Our model gives 61% to Luciano Darderi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.