Tennis · US Open · 01/09, 17:00

Prediction: Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton

Team pages: Yibing Wu · Adam Walton

Prediction summary
Winner
49% 51%
Yibing Wu Adam Walton
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 40.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yibing Wu 4-6 (W-L)
LLLWWWLWLL
Adam Walton 7-3 (W-L)
LWWWLWWWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Yibing Wu 1486 · Adam Walton 1508
Yibing WuAdam Walton
Our model47%53%
Market50%50%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Yibing WuAdam Walton
Win %40%50%
Win % · Hard 57% (7) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1-1.41.4-1.1
Games (G-P)11.9-12.713.2-12.7
Aces5.25.1
Double faults3.72.1
1st serve %65.5%69.4%
Break %27.7%38.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.9 · Bet365 line 40.5 · -16.6
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Yibing Wu

WLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
23/08 Francisco Comesana
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
13/08 Jaime Faria
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
12/08 Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 15-17 W
17/07 Bu Yunchaokete
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
15/07 Christian Langmo
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
13/07 Pavle Marinkov
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
13/07 Patrick Maloney
Challenger Lincoln · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
09/07 Stefan Kozlov
Challenger Newport · Grass
1-2 14-14 L
29/06 Novak Djokovic
Wimbledon · Grass
1-3 19-23 L
20/06 Jan Choinski
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
0-2 10-13 L

Adam Walton

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Ignacio Buse
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
1-2 12-17 L
24/08 Jesper De Jong
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
18/08 Jaime Faria
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
17/08 Ignacio Buse
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
14/08 Nicolas Mejia
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
04/08 Jenson Brooksby
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
01/08 Justin Boulais
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
29/07 Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
1-2 16-19 L
24/07 Michael Zheng
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
1-2 15-17 L
22/07 Thanasi Kokkinakis
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
2-1 15-15 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Yibing Wu vs Adam Walton?

Our model gives 51% to Adam Walton, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.