Prediction: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino
Team pages: Thiago Agustin Tirante · Adrian Mannarino
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Adrian Mannarino
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 38.5
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Agustin Tirante
6-4 (W-L)
Adrian Mannarino
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Agustin Tirante 1576 · Adrian Mannarino 1447
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Adrian Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 68% | 32% |
| Market | 64% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Thiago Agustin Tirante (rating 1576 vs 1447).
- Thiago Agustin Tirante is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Adrian Mannarino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | 20% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 0.8-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.3-12.9 | 10.1-11.6 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 77.3% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 33.2% | 47.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 38.5 · -15
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Martin Landaluce ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Novak Djokovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jan Choinski ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 09/08 | Learner Tien ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Duncan Chan ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Adrian Mannarino
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Alex Michelsen ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Learner Tien ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/07 | Alexis Galarneau Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 15-16 | L |
| 08/07 | Remy Bertola Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/07 | Alex De Minaur Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 7-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Titouan Droguet Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 21/06 | Nuno Borges ATP Mallorca · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino?
Our model gives 65% to Thiago Agustin Tirante, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.