Prediction: Luca Van Assche vs Cameron Norrie
Team pages: Luca Van Assche · Cameron Norrie
Prediction summary
Winner
Luca Van Assche
Cameron Norrie
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 39.5
Recent form · 10 last
Luca Van Assche
6-4 (W-L)
Cameron Norrie
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Luca Van Assche
1–3
Cameron Norrie
(4 last)
- 06 Nov1-2 10-15L
- 11 Oct2-1 14-14W
- 10 Jan1-2 11-18L
- 16 Jan0-3 9-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Luca Van Assche 1556 · Cameron Norrie 1558
| Luca Van Assche | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 38% | 62% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Luca Van Assche 1–3 Cameron Norrie (4).
- Note: Luca Van Assche makes many double faults (6.3/match).
Statistics
| Luca Van Assche | Cameron Norrie | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (9) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.6-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.7 | 12.8-10 |
| Aces | 2.8 | 3.5 |
| Double faults | 6.3 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 67% | 74% |
| Break % | 53.8% | 43.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9 · Bet365 line 39.5 · -16.6
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Luca Van Assche 1 – 3 Cameron Norrie (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Luca Van Assche 1–3 Cameron Norrie
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/11/24 ATP Metz | 1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 11/10/24 Challenger Roanne | 2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 10/01/24 ATP Auckland | 1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/01/23 Australian Open | 0-3 | 9-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Luca Van Assche
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Stefanos Sakellaridis Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/08 | Hugo Gaston Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/08 | Benjamin Bonzi Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 20/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 14/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Dusan Lajovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 11/08 | Gustavo Heide ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 26/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Cameron Norrie
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Alexander Zverev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 13/08 | Dino Prizmic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 09/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 05/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 31/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 30/07 | James Duckworth ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Luca Van Assche vs Cameron Norrie?
Our model gives 57% to Cameron Norrie, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.