Prediction: Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Team pages: Valentin Vacherot · Aleksandar Kovacevic
Prediction summary
Winner
Valentin Vacherot
Aleksandar Kovacevic
Estimated games
25Bet365 line 40.5
Recent form · 10 last
Valentin Vacherot
4-6 (W-L)
Aleksandar Kovacevic
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Valentin Vacherot
1–2
Aleksandar Kovacevic
(3 last)
- 01 May2-0 14-11W
- 23 Apr0-2 6-12L
- 02 Dec1-2 10-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentin Vacherot 1463 · Aleksandar Kovacevic 1518
| Valentin Vacherot | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Aleksandar Kovacevic (rating 1463 vs 1518).
- Head-to-head: Valentin Vacherot 1–2 Aleksandar Kovacevic (3).
- Note: Aleksandar Kovacevic makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Valentin Vacherot | Aleksandar Kovacevic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.6 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-14.5 | 11.9-14 |
| Aces | 8.3 | 9.2 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 77.6% |
| Break % | 36.3% | 39.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25 · Bet365 line 40.5 · -15.5
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Valentin Vacherot 1 – 2 Aleksandar Kovacevic (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Valentin Vacherot 1–2 Aleksandar Kovacevic
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/24 Challenger Aix en Provence | 2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 23/04/24 ATP Madrid | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 02/12/23 Challenger Temuco | 1-2 | 10-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Valentin Vacherot
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/07 | Raphael Collignon ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 15/07 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Thomas Faurel French Open · Clay |
3-1 | 22-19 | W |
| 24/04 | Emilio Nava ATP Madrid · Clay |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 11/04 | Carlos Alcaraz Garfia ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/04 | Alex De Minaur ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 09/04 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Monte Carlo · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
Aleksandar Kovacevic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/08 | Felix Balshaw ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Karen Khachanov ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 04/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 28/07 | Cameron Norrie ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 14-24 | L |
| 23/06 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Valentin Vacherot vs Aleksandar Kovacevic?
Our model gives 55% to Aleksandar Kovacevic, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.