Prediction: Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech
Team pages: Sho Shimabukuro · Arthur Rinderknech
Prediction summary
Winner
Sho Shimabukuro
Arthur Rinderknech
Estimated games
26.4Bet365 line 40.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sho Shimabukuro
4-6 (W-L)
Arthur Rinderknech
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sho Shimabukuro 1449 · Arthur Rinderknech 1466
| Sho Shimabukuro | Arthur Rinderknech | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 32% | 68% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Sho Shimabukuro makes many double faults (4.2/match).
- Note: Arthur Rinderknech makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Sho Shimabukuro | Arthur Rinderknech | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 29% (7) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1.5-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-13.5 | 17.9-17.1 |
| Aces | 5.1 | 18 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 68% | 79.5% |
| Break % | 40.1% | 36.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.4 · Bet365 line 40.5 · -14.1
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sho Shimabukuro
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Jeffrey John Wolf ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Hugo Dellien ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/08 | Marin Cilic ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 30/06 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-25 | L |
| 17/06 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/06 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Arthur Rinderknech
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Juan Manuel Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 08/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 18-19 | L |
| 05/08 | Miomir Kecmanovic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 22/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 17/07 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 15/07 | Clement Tabur ATP Gstaad · Clay |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 03/07 | Novak Djokovic Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-21 | L |
| 01/07 | Martin Damm Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 29/06 | Oliver Tarvet Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 25-23 | W |
| 16/06 | Hamad Medjedovic ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sho Shimabukuro vs Arthur Rinderknech?
Our model gives 61% to Arthur Rinderknech, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.