Prediction: Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch
Team pages: Taylor Fritz · Darwin Blanch
Prediction summary
Winner
Taylor Fritz
Darwin Blanch
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 32.5
Recent form · 10 last
Taylor Fritz
8-2 (W-L)
Darwin Blanch
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taylor Fritz 1602 · Darwin Blanch 1414
| Taylor Fritz | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 75% | 25% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Taylor Fritz (rating 1602 vs 1414).
- Taylor Fritz is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Taylor Fritz | Darwin Blanch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 0% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 0.8-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-10 | 11-13.3 |
| Aces | 10.6 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 78.9% | 71% |
| Break % | 39.5% | 23.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 32.5 · -9
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taylor Fritz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 20/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Alex Michelsen ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Zizou Bergs ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Darwin Blanch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Lloyd Harris Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Mark Lajal Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 15/07 | Bernard Tomic Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 09/07 | Garrett Johns Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 22/06 | Filip Cristian Jianu Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taylor Fritz vs Darwin Blanch?
Our model gives 84% to Taylor Fritz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.