Prediction: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien
Team pages: Nuno Borges · Learner Tien
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuno Borges
Learner Tien
Estimated games
24.1Bet365 line 38.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nuno Borges
6-4 (W-L)
Learner Tien
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Nuno Borges
0–2
Learner Tien
(2 last)
- 23 Jan0-3 12-19L
- 27 Oct0-2 8-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuno Borges 1554 · Learner Tien 1558
| Nuno Borges | Learner Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 36% | 64% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Nuno Borges 0–2 Learner Tien (2).
Statistics
| Nuno Borges | Learner Tien | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 75% (8) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-11.6 | 13.3-12 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 3 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 81.3% | 69.1% |
| Break % | 36.8% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1 · Bet365 line 38.5 · -14.4
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Nuno Borges 0 – 2 Learner Tien (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nuno Borges 0–2 Learner Tien
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/26 Australian Open | 0-3 | 12-19 | L |
| 27/10/25 ATP Paris | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuno Borges
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 18/08 | Andrey Rublev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Thanasi Kokkinakis ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 08/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Orlando Luz ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Learner Tien
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/08 | Sebastian Baez ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/08 | Gael Monfils ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 12-12 | W |
| 28/07 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/07 | Marton Fucsovics Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 20-25 | L |
| 29/06 | Dalibor Svrcina Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien?
Our model gives 58% to Learner Tien, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.