Tennis · US Open · 01/09, 17:00

Prediction: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse

Team pages: Marcos Giron · Ignacio Buse

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Marcos Giron Ignacio Buse
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 39.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marcos Giron 3-7 (W-L)
LWLWWLLLLL
Ignacio Buse 4-6 (W-L)
WLLWLLLLWW
Head-to-head
Marcos Giron 0–1 Ignacio Buse (1 last)
  • 16 Jun1-2 17-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marcos Giron 1475 · Ignacio Buse 1500
Marcos GironIgnacio Buse
Our model46%54%
Market53%47%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Head-to-head: Marcos Giron 0–1 Ignacio Buse (1).

Statistics

Marcos GironIgnacio Buse
Win %50%50%
Win % · Hard 43% (7) 50% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.31.1-1.5
Games (G-P)13.2-13.412.2-13
Aces42.7
Double faults2.51.4
1st serve %69.5%59.8%
Break %36.3%50.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.6 · Bet365 line 39.5 · -14.9
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.

H2H · Marcos Giron 01 Ignacio Buse (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Marcos Giron 01 Ignacio Buse

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DateSetsGamesRes.
16/06/26
ATP Queens
1-217-17L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marcos Giron

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
24/08 Dhakshineswar Suresh
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
13/08 Henrique Rocha
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 10-13 L
04/08 Hubert Hurkacz
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
01/08 Pablo Llamas Ruiz
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-1 14-10 W
28/07 Cruz Hewitt
ATP Washington · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
26/07 Andre Ilagan
ATP Washington · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
25/07 Aryan Shah
ATP Washington · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
04/07 Alexander Zverev
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 12-19 L
02/07 Quentin Halys
Wimbledon · Grass
3-0 19-13 W
30/06 Corentin Moutet
Wimbledon · Grass
3-1 23-19 W

Ignacio Buse

LLLWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
26/08 Daniel Altmaier
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
25/08 Adam Walton
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
2-1 17-12 W
17/08 Adam Walton
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
05/08 Cameron Norrie
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
23/07 Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
22/07 Kilian Feldbausch
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-1 14-10 W
20/07 Vit Kopriva
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-1 19-13 W
14/07 Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Gstaad · Clay
0-2 8-12 L
01/07 Jenson Brooksby
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 7-18 L
29/06 Emilio Nava
Wimbledon · Grass
3-1 23-17 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse?

Our model gives 50% to Marcos Giron, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.