Prediction: Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Karen Khachanov
Team pages: Roman Andres Burruchaga · Karen Khachanov
Prediction summary
Winner
Roman Andres Burruchaga
Karen Khachanov
Estimated games
26Bet365 line 37.5
Recent form · 10 last
Roman Andres Burruchaga
6-4 (W-L)
Karen Khachanov
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Roman Andres Burruchaga
0–1
Karen Khachanov
(1 last)
- 09 May1-2 12-17L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Roman Andres Burruchaga 1515 · Karen Khachanov 1454
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | Karen Khachanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Roman Andres Burruchaga (rating 1515 vs 1454).
- Head-to-head: Roman Andres Burruchaga 0–1 Karen Khachanov (1).
Statistics
| Roman Andres Burruchaga | Karen Khachanov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 71% (7) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.5-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-11.8 | 16-16.5 |
| Aces | 3.8 | 10.9 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 66.2% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 43.2% | 28.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26 · Bet365 line 37.5 · -11.5
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Roman Andres Burruchaga 0 – 1 Karen Khachanov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Roman Andres Burruchaga 0–1 Karen Khachanov
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/25 ATP Rome | 1-2 | 12-17 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Roman Andres Burruchaga
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Moise Kouame Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 24/07 | Alexander Blockx ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Nuno Borges ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 21/07 | Stan Wawrinka ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 17/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Camilo Ugo Carabelli ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/07 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Marco Cecchinato ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Karen Khachanov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 06/08 | Terence Atmane ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Bernard Tomic ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/07 | Flavio Cobolli Wimbledon · Grass |
2-3 | 23-25 | L |
| 02/07 | Yannick Hanfmann Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/06 | Billy Harris Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-16 | W |
| 16/06 | Ethan Quinn ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 14-13 | L |
| 07/06 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 05/06 | Alexander Bublik Bonmont Tennis Masters · ~Grass |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 29/05 | Jesper De Jong French Open · Clay |
2-3 | 23-30 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Roman Andres Burruchaga vs Karen Khachanov?
Our model gives 61% to Karen Khachanov, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.