Tennis · US Open · 01/09, 17:00

Prediction: Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner

Team pages: Zizou Bergs · Carlos Taberner

Prediction summary
Winner
74% 26%
Zizou Bergs Carlos Taberner
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 31.5
Recent form · 10 last
Zizou Bergs 4-6 (W-L)
LWWWLLLLWL
Carlos Taberner 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zizou Bergs 1493 · Carlos Taberner 1477
Zizou BergsCarlos Taberner
Our model52%48%
Market91%9%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Zizou Bergs makes many double faults (5.9/match).
  • Note: Carlos Taberner makes many double faults (5/match).

Statistics

Zizou BergsCarlos Taberner
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 33% (6) 0% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.5-1.61-1.5
Games (G-P)15.3-14.411.1-11.3
Aces7.72.6
Double faults5.95
1st serve %78.4%68.3%
Break %31.2%41.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.9 · Bet365 line 31.5 · -7.6
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zizou Bergs

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/08 Stefanos Sakellaridis
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
1-2 16-17 L
21/08 Andrea Pellegrino
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/08 Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
07/08 Ben Shelton
ATP Montreal · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
05/08 Sebastian Baez
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-1 15-11 W
27/07 Taylor Fritz
ATP Washington · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
04/07 Arthur Fery
Wimbledon · Grass
2-3 29-25 L
02/07 Jaime Faria
Wimbledon · Grass
3-1 23-17 W
30/06 Ugo Humbert
Wimbledon · Grass
3-2 26-22 W
28/06 Ugo Humbert
ATP Eastbourne · Grass
2-1 15-11 W

Carlos Taberner

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Olle Wallin
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
2-1 17-12 W
07/08 Elmer Moller
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
06/08 Marko Topo
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-1 15-12 W
04/08 Juan Bautista Torres
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 12-2 W
28/07 Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
20/01 Lorenzo Sonego
Australian Open · Hard
0-3 7-18 L
11/01 Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Adelaide · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
19/11 Ivan Gakhov
Challenger Montemar · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
18/11 Stefan Palosi
Challenger Montemar · Clay
2-0 12-1 W
15/11 Tomas Barrios Vera
Challenger Montevideo · Clay
1-2 14-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zizou Bergs vs Carlos Taberner?

Our model gives 74% to Zizou Bergs, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.