Prediction: Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo
Team pages: Yannick Hanfmann · Alejandro Tabilo
Prediction summary
Winner
Yannick Hanfmann
Alejandro Tabilo
Estimated games
23.6Bet365 line 38.5
Recent form · 10 last
Yannick Hanfmann
7-3 (W-L)
Alejandro Tabilo
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yannick Hanfmann
1–2
Alejandro Tabilo
(3 last)
- 12 Sept2-0 13-9W
- 10 May0-2 9-13L
- 13 Feb0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yannick Hanfmann 1518 · Alejandro Tabilo 1507
| Yannick Hanfmann | Alejandro Tabilo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 45% | 55% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Yannick Hanfmann dominates on serve: 7.7 aces and 41.4% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Yannick Hanfmann 1–2 Alejandro Tabilo (3).
Statistics
| Yannick Hanfmann | Alejandro Tabilo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-0.9 | 1.2-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.5 | 12.7-13.3 |
| Aces | 7.7 | 6.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 75.1% |
| Break % | 41.4% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6 · Bet365 line 38.5 · -14.9
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Yannick Hanfmann 1 – 2 Alejandro Tabilo (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yannick Hanfmann 1–2 Alejandro Tabilo
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/24 Davis Cup | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 10/05/24 ATP Rome | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/02/24 ATP Buenos Aires | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yannick Hanfmann
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Arthur Fils ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/08 | Luca Van Assche ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Flavio Cobolli ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 04/08 | Benjamin Bonzi ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/07 | Sebastian Baez ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/07 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/07 | Lukas Neumayer ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 15/07 | Valentin Vacherot ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
Alejandro Tabilo
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/08 | Jan-Lennard Struff ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Hubert Hurkacz ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 01/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 30/07 | Terence Atmane ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 27/07 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 22/07 | Tiago Torres ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Andrey Rublev ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 16/07 | Lautaro Midon ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yannick Hanfmann vs Alejandro Tabilo?
Our model gives 52% to Alejandro Tabilo, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.