Tennis · US Open · 01/09, 17:00

Prediction: Quentin Halys vs Facundo Diaz Acosta

Team pages: Quentin Halys · Facundo Diaz Acosta

Prediction summary
Winner
67% 33%
Quentin Halys Facundo Diaz Acosta
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 37.5
Recent form · 10 last
Quentin Halys 9-1 (W-L)
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Facundo Diaz Acosta 8-2 (W-L)
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Head-to-head
Quentin Halys 0–1 Facundo Diaz Acosta (1 last)
  • 21 Aug1-2 12-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Quentin Halys 1587 · Facundo Diaz Acosta 1567
Quentin HalysFacundo Diaz Acosta
Our model53%47%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Quentin Halys dominates on serve: 10.2 aces and 46.3% break avg.
  • Head-to-head: Quentin Halys 0–1 Facundo Diaz Acosta (1).

Statistics

Quentin HalysFacundo Diaz Acosta
Win %80%70%
Win % · Clay 100% (5) 70% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.51.6-0.8
Games (G-P)13.7-10.813.1-9.8
Aces10.22.4
Double faults2.71.4
1st serve %81.4%71.5%
Break %46.3%41.9%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.9 · Bet365 line 37.5 · -13.6
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.

H2H · Quentin Halys 01 Facundo Diaz Acosta (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Quentin Halys 01 Facundo Diaz Acosta

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DateSetsGamesRes.
21/08/23
ATP Winston-Salem
1-212-16L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Quentin Halys

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/08 Benjamin Bonzi
ATP Winston-Salem · Hard
1-2 15-15 L
15/08 Alex De Minaur
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 15-14 L
14/08 Vit Kopriva
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
13/08 Bu Yunchaokete
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
11/08 Soonwoo Kwon
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-1 17-16 W
25/07 Alexander Bublik
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
24/07 Yannick Hanfmann
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
23/07 Mariano Navone
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
22/07 Valentin Vacherot
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
21/07 Laslo Djere
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-10 W

Facundo Diaz Acosta

WWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
02/08 Mili Poljicak
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
01/08 Vilius Gaubas
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
31/07 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-1 16-9 W
29/07 Francesco Forti
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
28/07 Tommaso Compagnucci
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
22/07 Alexander Bublik
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
20/07 Federico Cina
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-1 16-13 W
14/07 Lautaro Midon
ATP Bastad · Clay
1-2 12-15 L
11/07 Hugo Gaston
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
1-2 18-19 L
10/07 Niels McDonald
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 12-5 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Quentin Halys vs Facundo Diaz Acosta?

Our model gives 67% to Quentin Halys, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.