Prediction: Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksby
Team pages: Jaime Faria · Jenson Brooksby
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaime Faria
Jenson Brooksby
Estimated games
22.6Bet365 line 40.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jaime Faria
7-3 (W-L)
Jenson Brooksby
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jaime Faria
1–1
Jenson Brooksby
(2 last)
- 15 Aug2-0 12-5W
- 25 May1-3 12-21L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaime Faria 1551 · Jenson Brooksby 1489
| Jaime Faria | Jenson Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jaime Faria (rating 1551 vs 1489).
- Jaime Faria dominates on serve: 7.6 aces and 47.1% break avg.
- Note: Jaime Faria makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Jaime Faria | Jenson Brooksby | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.1-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-11 | 10.6-10.3 |
| Aces | 7.6 | 3 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 0.8 |
| 1st serve % | 72.2% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 47.1% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6 · Bet365 line 40.5 · -17.9
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Jaime Faria 1 – 1 Jenson Brooksby (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jaime Faria 1–1 Jenson Brooksby
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/26 ATP Cincinnati | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 25/05/25 French Open | 1-3 | 12-21 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaime Faria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/08 | Adam Walton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 17/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Yibing Wu ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Jenson Brooksby
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08 | Stefanos Tsitsipas ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Adam Walton ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Edward Winter ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Corentin Moutet ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Ignacio Buse Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksby?
Our model gives 54% to Jaime Faria, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.