Prediction: Alexander Bublik vs Jeffrey John Wolf
Team pages: Alexander Bublik · Jeffrey John Wolf
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Bublik
Jeffrey John Wolf
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 37.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Bublik
5-5 (W-L)
Jeffrey John Wolf
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Bublik
1–3
Jeffrey John Wolf
(4 last)
- 06 Jul3-0 19-9W
- 22 Mar0-2 8-13L
- 14 Oct1-2 12-16L
- 10 Aug0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Bublik 1552 · Jeffrey John Wolf 1581
| Alexander Bublik | Jeffrey John Wolf | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 68% | 32% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jeffrey John Wolf dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 49.5% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Alexander Bublik 1–3 Jeffrey John Wolf (4).
Statistics
| Alexander Bublik | Jeffrey John Wolf | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.3 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 16-14.7 | 13.9-11.3 |
| Aces | 15.7 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 77.6% | 77% |
| Break % | 28.8% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 37.5 · -12.9
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Alexander Bublik 1 – 3 Jeffrey John Wolf (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Bublik 1–3 Jeffrey John Wolf
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/23 Wimbledon | 3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 22/03/23 ATP Miami | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 14/10/22 ATP Florence | 1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 10/08/19 ATP Cincinnati | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Bublik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 23/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 22/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Quentin Halys ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 06/07 | Taylor Fritz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-19 | L |
| 04/07 | Frances Tiafoe Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-27 | W |
| 02/07 | Kyrian Jacquet Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-13 | W |
| 30/06 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 28-23 | W |
| 16/06 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Jeffrey John Wolf
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | James Duckworth ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 12/08 | Shintaro Mochizuki ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/08 | Mark Lajal Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 01/08 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 31/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 24/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/07 | Coleman Wong Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Bublik vs Jeffrey John Wolf?
Our model gives 58% to Alexander Bublik, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.