Prediction: Damir Dzumhur vs Hubert Hurkacz
Team pages: Damir Dzumhur · Hubert Hurkacz
Prediction summary
Winner
Damir Dzumhur
Hubert Hurkacz
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 30.5
Recent form · 10 last
Damir Dzumhur
7-3 (W-L)
Hubert Hurkacz
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Damir Dzumhur
1–0
Hubert Hurkacz
(1 last)
- 03 Feb3-0 21-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Damir Dzumhur 1543 · Hubert Hurkacz 1585
| Damir Dzumhur | Hubert Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 12% | 88% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hubert Hurkacz (rating 1543 vs 1585).
- Hubert Hurkacz dominates on serve: 13.7 aces and 42.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Damir Dzumhur 1–0 Hubert Hurkacz (1).
Statistics
| Damir Dzumhur | Hubert Hurkacz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-1.1 | 1.9-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-11.7 | 15.3-11.8 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 13.7 |
| Double faults | 1.4 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 61.3% | 79.9% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 42.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 30.5 · -5.9
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
H2H · Damir Dzumhur 1 – 0 Hubert Hurkacz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Damir Dzumhur 1–0 Hubert Hurkacz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/02/17 Davis Cup | 3-0 | 21-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Damir Dzumhur
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Mathys Erhard Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Geoffrey Blancaneaux Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 18/07 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 17/07 | Alex Molcan ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 16/07 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Umag · Clay |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 15/07 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/07 | Henrique Rocha ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/07 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 07/07 | Stefan Horia Haita Challenger Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/06 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 11-21 | L |
Hubert Hurkacz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Sebastian Baez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 23/08 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/08 | Roman Safiullin Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/08 | Henrique Rocha Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Tommy Paul ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 05/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Marcos Giron ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 03/07 | Tommy Paul Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 24-19 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Damir Dzumhur vs Hubert Hurkacz?
Our model gives 74% to Hubert Hurkacz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.