Prediction: Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor
Team pages: Ben Shelton · Tallon Griekspoor
Prediction summary
Winner
Ben Shelton
Tallon Griekspoor
Estimated games
24.6Bet365 line 36.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ben Shelton
8-2 (W-L)
Tallon Griekspoor
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ben Shelton 1600 · Tallon Griekspoor 1496
| Ben Shelton | Tallon Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ben Shelton (rating 1600 vs 1496).
- Ben Shelton is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Tallon Griekspoor makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Ben Shelton | Tallon Griekspoor | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.6 | 1.2-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-9.7 | 14.7-15.5 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 9.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 79% | 72.2% |
| Break % | 46.9% | 26.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.6 · Bet365 line 36.5 · -11.9
Estimate calibrated to best-of-3; this match is best-of-5 — the total is indicative, not reliable, so we do not show Over/Under here.
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ben Shelton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Learner Tien ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/08 | Joao Fonseca ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 07/08 | Zizou Bergs ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/08 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 31/07 | Ugo Humbert ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 28/07 | Martin Damm ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
Tallon Griekspoor
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Alexander Zverev ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 27/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 30/06 | James Duckworth Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 16/06 | Sho Shimabukuro ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 11/06 | Zhizhen Zhang ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 10/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Matteo Arnaldi French Open · Clay |
1-3 | 19-25 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ben Shelton vs Tallon Griekspoor?
Our model gives 72% to Ben Shelton, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.